28 September 2023
Initial jobless claims stood at 204k for the consecutive second week, noticeably below the anticipated 215k. This marks the lowest non-seasonally-adjusted claims since September 2022, registering at 175.
While anomalies such as the Ohio fraud and Minnesota extensions seem largely rectified, claims in Ohio surged, only surpassed by California.
Continuing claims remain under 1.7 million. Yet, with The Conference Board survey indicating a declining labor market and stringent financial conditions, it raises questions about the accuracy of current claims data. When will it truly mirror the reality?