30 January 2024
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised its global growth forecast for 2024 upwards, now predicting a 3.1% expansion, marking a 0.2 percentage point increase from previous estimates. This optimistic adjustment stems from the resilience demonstrated by the U.S. economy, alongside the effects of fiscal stimulus in China. Additionally, robust performances from major emerging market economies have contributed to this improved global economic outlook. Despite these positive developments, the report does caution about new risks, particularly to commodities and supply chains, arising from escalating volatility in the Middle East. However, a notable silver lining is the quicker-than-anticipated decline in global inflation rates, suggesting a more stable economic environment moving forward.