The Jobs Boom Is Clearly Behind Us, So What’s Next?

7 December 2023

The labor market is deteriorating, evidenced by ADP and BLS reports showing significant declines in key sectors and slowing wage growth. Job quits have plummeted, signaling a stagnant job market. This downturn is exacerbated by troubles in manufacturing, commercial real estate, and a stressed housing market with unaffordable prices. These factors paint a bleak economic picture, with the Federal Reserve facing a precarious situation and the potential for further policy missteps.

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