31 October 2024
Capital Economics predicts that the U.S. election won’t have an immediate major effect on commodities, but could shape oil and natural gas markets in the long run. A Trump victory might support more drilling and potentially lead to higher U.S. oil demand, while Harris would likely maintain current policies. Gold prices could benefit from a Trump presidency due to potential inflation and uncertainty. Overall, market fundamentals are expected to have a greater impact on commodity prices than the election result.