Core Inflation Cools for Fourth Month, Bolstering Case for Fed Rate Cut

The latest U.S. inflation data shows a continued easing of price pressures, with the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 3.2% year-over-year in July, marking the fourth consecutive month of deceleration. This trend supports the Federal Reserve’s potential decision to cut interest rates in September. However, shelter costs, which account for a significant portion of the CPI, accelerated from June, presenting a mixed picture. The overall CPI increased by 2.9% annually, the lowest rate since March 2021. While inflation is generally trending downward, the Fed will likely consider additional data, including labor market conditions, before making a final decision on rate cuts. The market response has been cautious, with traders adjusting their expectations for the size and timing of potential rate reductions.