10 July 2024
Citi analysts project a rebound in physical gold demand for the latter half of 2024, despite a slight softening in the second quarter. They maintain a bullish outlook with a $3,000 price target, expecting spot prices to average between $2,400-$2,600 per ounce in H2 2024. This optimism is fueled by anticipated record Chinese gold imports, stable official sector demand, and potential increases in central bank purchases. The analysts also predict improved gold ETF inflows as the Federal Reserve begins its rate-cutting cycle. These factors combined suggest a strong upward trajectory for gold prices, with Chinese retail imports potentially representing 47% of world gold mine output in 2024.