UBS Forecasts Commodity Rally Driven by Strong Fundamentals

UBS predicts a rally in commodities based on strong fundamentals. They raised their gold demand forecast due to record central bank purchases and sustained Chinese buying, expecting prices to reach USD 2,600/oz by year-end. Copper is also expected to see price gains, driven by supply challenges and China’s housing policies, with prices forecasted to hit USD 11,500/mt by year-end. UBS projects a 10% return for broad commodity indexes over the next 6-12 months and recommends an active investment approach in commodities like oil.