Forbes: What To Expect From April’s CPI Report

The April 2024 Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, scheduled for release on May 15 at 8:30 a.m. ET, is anticipated to reflect a continuation of this year’s relatively higher inflation trends, with headline inflation expected at 0.4% and core inflation at 0.3%. These figures, according to models from the Cleveland Federal Reserve and forecasts from Kalshi, suggest inflation will remain above the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) annual target of 2%. Given these conditions, and with another CPI release set for the day of the FOMC’s June meeting, it is unlikely the FOMC will consider interest rate cuts before July, potentially extending further depending on economic indicators such as job market conditions. This scenario supports the expectation that the Federal Reserve might delay any easing of monetary policy if inflation remains stubbornly high.