3 May 2024
Recent interventions by Japanese officials to stabilize the yen have unsettled one of this year’s most profitable financial strategies—carry trades. Typically, investors borrow yen due to its low yield and invest in higher-yielding emerging-market currencies. However, a spike in yen volatility to its highest level since July has led to losses this week, particularly affecting investments in the Indian rupee and Colombian peso. Data indicates that the carry-to-risk ratio for these yen-funded investments has dropped significantly from March peaks, suggesting a decrease in the strategy’s attractiveness due to increased currency risk.