20 March 2024
According to Wharton Professor Kent Smetters and insights from notable hedge fund managers Mark Spitznagel and Ray Dalio, the US is on the verge of a severe economic downturn, potentially culminating in the worst stock market crash since 1929 due to an unsustainable debt trajectory. Federal spending has significantly outstripped tax revenue, a trend exacerbated by the global financial crisis and further intensified during the pandemic. To hedge against an economic downturn, Smetters recommends buying bonds that adjust for inflation.