4 March 2024
The US economy’s resilience has led to a reassessment of expectations for interest rate cuts in 2024. Initially, after enduring prolonged inflation and increased borrowing costs for over 20 months, there was widespread anticipation among investors, economists, and Federal Reserve officials that the economy would weaken, enabling the Fed to commence rate reductions. However, the anticipated timeline for a Federal Reserve policy shift continues to be postponed. Despite early market predictions of six rate cuts starting in March 2024, this prospect has now been deemed unlikely. The economy’s unexpected strength suggests that any immediate relief in the form of rate cuts may not materialize as previously hoped.