15 February 2024
In January, retail sales experienced a significant decline of 0.8%, indicating a potential warning signal for the economy. This drop, reported by the Commerce Department, surpassed the modest 0.3% decrease economists had predicted, reflecting a more substantial consumer pullback than anticipated. Despite seasonal adjustments, the decrease was even evident when excluding auto sales, which fell by 0.6% against an expected increase. This trend suggests consumer spending is not keeping pace with inflation, as evidenced by the year-over-year sales growth of merely 0.6%. Such a sharp reduction in consumer spending could have implications for economic health, particularly if this trend continues.