14 February 2024
As the Federal Reserve kicked off 2024 nearly achieving its inflation target, officials remain hesitant to lower interest rates due to the persistent risk of inflation exceeding their 2% goal. Recent inflation data, particularly concerning consumer prices excluding food and energy, rose unexpectedly in January, suggesting businesses, especially within the services sector, still possess significant pricing power. This development has dampened hopes for an imminent easing of monetary policy. The Fed’s cautious stance is further reinforced by various uncertainties, including the robustness of the economy and geopolitical tensions, which have influenced their decision to adopt a more deliberate approach towards adjusting interest rate policies.