Economists Anticipate Continued High Rates Due to Stubborn US Core Inflation

27 November 2023

Bloomberg’s latest survey indicates the Federal Reserve’s core inflation measure will stay elevated, likely keeping interest rates high into 2024. The core index is expected to be 2.5% by end of 2024, suggesting a prolonged period of tight monetary policy. Overall inflation is projected to decline, but economic growth is forecasted to slow, with a peak unemployment rate of 4.4%. The survey, conducted between Nov. 17-22, included 73 economists.

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