14 November 2023
Despite enduring the worst year for long-dated Treasuries in U.S. history, Dr. Lacy Hunt, a prominent ‘deflationist’ and treasury bull, remains steadfast in his bullish stance on these bonds. He believes that the Federal Reserve’s current tight monetary policy will lead to a severe economic downturn, causing long-term rates to plummet. While Hunt’s unwavering conviction is noteworthy, especially after a challenging 18 months for his fund, there’s growing speculation about whether this anticipated ‘hard landing’ might keep getting pushed further into the future.