27 July 2023
Gasoline prices are starting to surge globally, presenting a worrying inflationary omen for central banks and governments worldwide. Futures in New York recently soared to a nine-month high, sending shockwaves to consumers at the pump. This surge is primarily due to unexpected refinery outages and lower-than-usual stockpiles in major storage hubs like the US Gulf Coast and Singapore. As US gasoline contracts have rallied by over 20% while crude oil futures remain relatively static, central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, are grappling with the impact on inflation. High energy costs could inflate consumer prices and potentially decrease consumer spending power, leading to broader economic repercussions. The situation also puts additional stress on emerging market governments, where fuel subsidies are often used to support poorer citizens. Despite attempts to expand refining capacity, the global demand for gasoline continues to exceed the supply.