29 June 2023
Investors issue a stark warning to hedge funds involved in the highly leveraged Treasuries trade, cautioning them about the looming dangers of a potential yield curve reversal. With the yield curve already heading for one of its longest and deepest inversions, any sudden steepening could spell disaster for the popular basis trade strategy. Traders would scramble to close their positions, risking significant losses. The extreme positioning and increased bets on the basis trade amplify the risks, particularly as volatility remains a looming threat. As the market dynamics shift, the trade becomes increasingly precarious, raising concerns for investors.