Why the Chances of a Government Shutdown This Fall Are Already on the Rise

20 June 2023

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy’s agreement to propose additional spending cuts ensures ongoing partisan spending fights, increasing the risk of government shutdowns and market instability. The House Appropriations Committee will set spending levels, with Republicans seeking additional cuts beyond the debt-ceiling deal. A government shutdown in October is possible without bipartisan agreement. The gridlock could also lead to a fiscal cliff in 2024 if no budget deal is reached.

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