10 February 2023
Talking of capital flows, yesterday US yields rose again and the 2s -10s yield curve spread widened to most since the early 1980s, at one point reaching 86bps – and that is with the 2-year yield still 100bps lower than the 5.50% terminal rate that our Fed watcher Philip Marey now has penciled in for this year. However, things can get worse.