17 October 2022
Inflation Inferno Scenario: If Democrats hold the House and Senate, expect a barrage of highly inflationary free money handouts will pass Congress via reconciliation maneuvers. Do not dismiss this possibility outright. 29 percent is nothing to sneeze at. Even if you think Silver is way off, even 15 percent chances happen 15 percent of the time by definition.
Importantly, it’s not national motivation to vote that matters. Turnout in a mere 24 districts will decide whether Progressives unleash inflation or not.